Up and Running Blog

starting costs

(Note: reposted from Planning Startups Stories)

Every startup has its own natural level of startup costs. It’s built into the circumstances, like strategy, location and resources. Call it the natural startup level or maybe “the sweet spot.”

1. The Plan

For example, Mabel’s Thai restaurant in San Francisco is going to need about $950,000, while Ralph’s new catering business needs only about $50,000. Sweet Spot The level is determined by factors such as strategy, scope, founders’ objectives, location and so forth. Let’s call it its natural level. That natural startup level is built into the nature of the business, something like DNA.

Startup cost estimates have three parts: a list of expenses, a list of assets needed and an initial cash number calculated to cover the company through the early months when most startups are still too young to generate sufficient revenue to cover their monthly costs.

It’s not just a matter of industry type or best practices; strategy, resources and location make huge differences. The fact that it’s a Vietnamese restaurant or a graphic arts business or a retail shoe store doesn’t, by itself, determine the natural startup level. A lot depends on where, by whom, with what strategy and using what resources.

While we don’t ever know for sure–because even after we count the actual costs, we can always second-guess our actual spending–I do believe we can understand something like natural levels, somehow related to the nature of the specific startup.

Marketing strategy, just as an example, might make a huge difference. The company planning to buy web traffic will naturally spend much more in its early months than the company planning to depend on viral word of mouth. It’s in the plan.

So too with location, product development strategy, management team and compensation–lots of different factors. They’re all in the plan. They result in our natural startup level.

2. Funding or Not Funding

There’s an obvious relationship between the amount of money needed and whether there’s funding, and where and how you seek that funding. It’s not random; it’s related to the plan itself. Here again is the idea of a natural level, of a fit between the nature of the business startup and its funding strategy.

It seems that you start with your own resources and, if that’s enough, you stop there, too. You look at what you can borrow. And you deal with realities of friends and family (limited for most people), angel investment (for more money, but also limited by realities of investor needs, payoffs, etc.) and venture capital (available for only a few very high-end plans, with good teams, defensible markets, scalability, etc.).

3. Launch or Revise

Somewhere in this process is a sense of scale and reality. If the natural startup cost is $2 million, but you don’t have a proven team and a strong plan, then you don’t just raise less money, and you don’t just make do with less. No–and this is important–at that point, you have to revise your plan. You don’t just go on blindly spending money (and probably dumping it down the drain) if the money raised, or the money that can be raised, doesn’t match the amount the plan requires.

Revise the plan. Lower your sites. Narrow your market. Slow your projected growth rate.

Bring in a stronger team. New partners? More experienced people? Maybe a different ownership structure will help.

What’s really important is that you have to jump out of a flawed assumption set and revise the plan. I’ve seen this too often: You do the plan, set the amounts, fail the funding and then just keep going, but without the needed funding.

And that’s just not likely to work. And, more important, it is likely to cause you to fail–and lose money while you’re doing it.

Repetition for emphasis: You revise the plan to give it a different natural need level. You don’t just make do with less. You also do less.

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(Note: this is posted here with permission from Bplans.com, where it originally appeared.)

Last night we were talking about getting angel investment and valuation, which is one of, if not the, most important points in the discussion. Valuation is essentially price.

Say you want to bring in $150,000 from an angel investor. The immediate question from the investor will be something like: “at what valuation?” Sometimes that’s called “pre-money valuation,” because the instant the deal happens the valuation will change into post-money valuation, which is always higher–because your company just got some new cash.

Your answer sets your deal equivalent of an asking price. If you say $500,000, then you’re offering the investor 30 percent of your company for $150,000. If you say $300,000, you’re offering 50 percent. If you say $1 million, then you’re only offering 15 percent.

Which leads to the question:

So how do I know? How do I set valuation appropriately? What is that based on? Is it some multiple of sales or intellectual property or what?

And that’s a good question, and very hard to answer. Sure, you want some compromise between what you want to give as a percent of ownership in your company and what investors would want to buy. Investors will simply say no if it’s not an attractive offer. But that’s still very vague.

  • In the case of an existing business with some history, you do have some formulas you can use. For a great site on that business interpretation of valuation I suggest bizequity.com, the Zillow.com equivalent for small business.
  • When we’re talking about startups, however, you don’t have history and you can’t really apply formulas based on sales, revenue or even intellectual property (although that could be more relevant).

So here’s my concrete suggestion:

  1. Calculate starting costs. That’s two lists, the expenses you have to incur and the assets you have to have at the starting point–except cash. Leave that blank for a bit.  Add those all–except for cash assets–to the starting costs, to get an amount, a number in dollars.  Click here for a lot more on that. So for example, in the illustration here, that would be about $40,000. Yes, I know it says $38,750, but this is just an estimated guess; always round up. You never guess just right.
  2. Calculate cash flow through the lean period at the beginning, before your sales cover your costs.  Make a good guess at how much money you need to cover the deficit spending to get you to an operational, month-by-month break-even level of cash. That’s where the cash requirement number in the illustration came from: it seemed like this company would need about $400,000 to survive from startup to break-even. You can’t see much in the chart below, because it’s small, but it shows a projected 12 months of cash flow (in blue) with a minimum balance, a deficit (in red), of about $400,000.
  3. That gives you a number. In this case, it’s $400,000. That’s what your cash flow shows you you’ll need to get to cash-flow break-even. In the last two months, the cash flow is positive, so the negative balance starts shrinking. With that estimate as a best guess, you go back into your startup costs calculation and add in the cash required. It’s $400,000. You can see what that does to the startup costs worksheet in the next illustration here.
  4. Having done that, you now know that you need about $500,000 from investors (again, technically it’s $458,750, but you’re using best-guess estimates, so round up.) Set that as the amount of investment you’re seeking. Then–and here it gets hard, to be sure–you need to decide how much of your company you’re going to offer to an investor in exchange for that $500,000.
  5. Get some help here if you can. Ask somebody with experience in startups, or dealing with angel investors, or both. Ask an attorney you can trust, who should also be somebody with experience. The thing is, how much of your company you offer to investors is about a compromise between what you’d like–none, free money–and what will entice the investors to write checks. At this point a lot depends on your overall business offering, the cards your company brings to the table. Investors want as high a return as possible, with as little risk, but in relation to return. How experienced is your team? How defensible is your product? How rich is the market? All these factors determine what kind of a deal will be acceptable to investors.
    • Let’s say, in this case, you’re new at startups, you have very little track record, and you want to attract an active angel investor as a partner. So maybe you set your initial valuation at $750K, meaning you’re offering to give away 2/3 of your ownership to get the money you need. You’re being realistic about what will attract an investor. You’d better really, really like that investor, because he or she will essentially own your company. But this is a hypothetical case and, without a lot of experience and defensibility, that may be the best you can do.
    • Or maybe you’ve got better cards to play: You’ve got a team with startup experience and a defensible new product, with some intellectual property, and it looks like an attractive market. That makes you able to set a stronger valuation, and maybe–we hope–still make it an attractive offer to investors. So maybe you say you’re valuing it at $1.5 million. You’re offering investors one third of your company for $500K.

So there’s a quick and (I hope) simple summary of how you set the initial (pre-money) valuation when you want to attract investment.

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Today we are continuing our popular series, Back to the Fundamentals of business planning, by highlighting our Bplans.com Starting Costs Estimator Calculator, which is one of our FREE tools, available to help you write your business plan.

Getting a handle on what it will cost you to get your business started and running is about as fundamental as you can get.

Bplans Starting Costs Calculator
Here’s a short article explaining how to use this tool, right now, real time, to better plan and manage your business.

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